Crash Course: Chapter 18 – Environmental Data (1 of 2) by Chris Martenson
Chapter 18 – Environmental Data (1 of 2): The entire human population reached three billion in 1960, and today more than twice that number of people live on earth with rapid growth expected to continue in the future. Unfortunately, an increasing population increases the demand for earth’s natural resources. In this chapter, Dr. Chris Martenson explains that since the easiest-to-extract, most abundant natural resources are extracted first, our growing population will have to deal with scarce, energy-consuming, low-grade resource availability in the near future. www.chrismartenson.com
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- Crash Course: Chapter 18 – Environmental Data by Chris Martenson
- Crash Course: Chapter 18 – Environmental Data (2 of 2) by Chris Martenson
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Birth rates have been falling for decades now, even in such places as Bangla Desh. But, since mortality rates are falling faster, we have net increases in population.
However, around mid-century, the population of the Earth is expected to level off, around 11 billion or so.
The entire “population bomb” story turned out to be hype, based on the assumption the economy is static, and resources are fixed.
Nuclear energy was unknown 100 years ago. Crude oil was unknown 200 years ago.
Oh! Doom!
Re metal ores, if I am refining metal from raw ore, that is one thing. But, if my steel mill is using scrap metal (recycling) then my source quality is much higher than with ore. Consequently, old fashioned steel mills hardly exist now, replaced by mini-mills that process scrap.
Long term commodity prices go down, not up, including energy. The reason is innovation and technology.
the question is… will we be able to develop some technologies soon enough in order to substitute all the resources we are depleting. i just don´t see it coming. i think there will be some tough times ahed. a lot of termoil and unrest while we go trough a transition period. i do hope than technology and human intelligence prevail on the long run. but until then… a lot of things must change in our society
Nuclear energy is not the answer. It is not a renewable or sustainable resource and has a lot of negative aspects to it.
The “population bomb” story is not hype; the exact point it will happen at is what is debatable, whether it will happen is not.
The energy required for agriculture to feed 11 billion people will disappear with the oil.
Drill baby drill must be your motto – If you’re willing to believe silly things such as that, you’d be willing to believe in talking snake fairy tales.
This is why we have 1 child. I think every family should have 1 child. Why have more?
Everything has negative aspects to it. Particulary the Mathusian notion of absolutely limited resources.
Trust in innovation. We got this far, we can go much further. Problems are to be solved.
Why have any?
It’s scary to know that it’s probable that unless miracle technological discoveries are made available for mass-implementation (e.g. cold fusion) in decades, quality of life will seriously deteriorate. On the other hand, and this might sound selfish, in case this happens I am glad to have lived at the peak of civilisation for some time during my life (in terms of technology and culture of course, not consumerism and economics). Anyway mr. Martenson, this is definately food for though AND action.
Bangla Desh???? pitiful…
So Chris…has anyone from the american government shown any interest in this video series yet?
1) Are you still under the radar?
2) Are they ignoring this because this country would enter a panic if they really understood where we are.
For me, The end of hip hop and pathetic exploitation of talentless pop stars won’t arrive soon enough…one nice byproduct of the upcoming historical changes we have awaiting us.
What is pitiful? That their birth rate is falling?
why do you put all your hope in wild dreams (cold fusion) that have nearly no chance to work, when we have nearly all the technology we need today: renewable energy and energy efficient techs?
maybe those very advanced zero energy technologies were known for thousands of years but kept in secret, maybe you and me are just ants in a lab, maybe we were all the time in the peak-almost-fucked-up because if you research history people with no political-economical power (the majority) were always fucked up always feeling the end of the world, all the time
If we have hit the peak of civilization, future, less advanced societies might see this as the “age of wizards” or something like it.
Anyways, cold fusion is off the mark, it’s regular hot fusion that people are researching. They’re looking to make it yield energy returns. But since it’s not expected to yield energy returns for decades it will be a very close call for our energy crisis
This and chapter 17 were my favorite. I’m not usually a 100% big picture sort of guy, but when survival as a whole is the big picture, details become irrelevant.
1 gallon of gasoline = 196,000 lbs. of prehistoric phytoplankton
My efforts are being put into solar.
yes
now we can barely feed to all this people because of the oil
but we’re running out of it, and the water is a problem too.
so, do u still think that there’s no overpopulation and this is all quite sustentable? i think you’re fucking blind or you’re fucking retarded.
this will adjust just like prices, people will die till its enough, and rich people will became more and more isolated with the remain resources while outside there’s a fucking anarchy
I think our civilization will be called: Atlantis the Lost Empire.
When a specific exponential advancing technology begins to run out of steam the next generation technology is already beginning to advance.This maintains the exponential growth curve.The computer has undergone five such S curves. Mechanical, vacuum tube, transistor, silicon and most recent 3-dimensional silicon/quantum computing. Similar has occurred with communications. Postal mail, telegraph, telephone, Internet cellphones.
In 1994 two-thirds of the global population had never made or received a phone call. Today, half the farmers in china have cell phones in their pockets.